Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.108326 0.166715 0.235353 0.319345 0.417102 0.525415 0.652772
2025-11-30 0.039299 0.104376 0.198750 0.330192 0.497554 0.695346 0.939744
2025-12-07 0.011548 0.067128 0.168475 0.325325 0.537771 0.799011 1.131032
2025-12-14 0.000627 0.038120 0.136964 0.309402 0.557497 0.873621 1.285109
2025-12-21 NaN 0.030465 0.137413 0.336936 0.632736 1.015955 1.520159
2025-12-28 NaN 0.024764 0.138877 0.364597 0.707434 1.157367 1.754209
2026-01-04 NaN 0.017749 0.133500 0.379280 0.762851 1.273339 1.956421
2026-01-11 NaN 0.016335 0.141864 0.416978 0.851253 1.432548 2.213113
2026-01-18 NaN 0.013541 0.144661 0.444466 0.924688 1.572150 2.445392
2026-01-25 NaN 0.008182 0.134880 0.447922 0.962046 1.663630 2.616724
2026-02-01 NaN 0.001950 0.108837 0.416900 0.945538 1.681681 2.693649
2026-02-08 NaN NaN 0.081578 0.376817 0.911405 1.673396 2.734873
2026-02-15 NaN NaN 0.068012 0.363584 0.920121 1.726227 2.859165
2026-02-22 NaN NaN 0.064169 0.372203 0.964408 1.829271 3.050252
2026-03-01 NaN NaN 0.055887 0.367796 0.986246 1.900192 3.198696
2026-03-08 NaN NaN 0.044098 0.350584 0.985139 1.937895 3.302919
2026-03-15 NaN NaN 0.048525 0.380031 1.064116 2.090021 3.558934
2026-03-22 NaN NaN 0.052934 0.409476 1.143211 2.242492 3.815654
2026-03-29 NaN NaN 0.052715 0.425091 1.198472 2.360966 4.027452
2026-04-05 NaN NaN 0.060593 0.465097 1.296097 2.540323 4.320333
2026-04-12 NaN NaN 0.064830 0.494207 1.374949 2.692917 4.577874
2026-04-19 NaN NaN 0.060581 0.497863 1.409800 2.782573 4.752006
2026-04-26 NaN NaN 0.045592 0.465014 1.379758 2.778263 4.800676